$npx -y skills add simbajigege/book2skills --skill common-sense-index-investing-bogleApply John Bogle index investing rules for low-cost funds, asset allocation,
| 1 | # The Little Book of Common Sense Investing — Index Investing Skill |
| 2 | |
| 3 | **Knowledge source:** *The Little Book of Common Sense Investing* by John C. Bogle. |
| 4 | |
| 5 | ## Overview |
| 6 | |
| 7 | Use this skill to evaluate investment fund choices, portfolio simplicity, cost drag, index fund discipline, asset allocation, and buy-hold behavior using Bogle's common-sense investing framework. It is educational decision support, not personalized financial advice. |
| 8 | |
| 9 | ## When to Use This Skill |
| 10 | |
| 11 | Use this skill when the user asks: |
| 12 | - "Should I use an index fund or active fund?" |
| 13 | - "Are these fund fees too high?" |
| 14 | - "How should I think about ETFs, smart beta, or advisers?" |
| 15 | - "What stock/bond allocation is sensible?" |
| 16 | - "Am I overcomplicating my portfolio?" |
| 17 | |
| 18 | ## Core Principle |
| 19 | |
| 20 | Own the broad market at very low cost and hold it for the long term. Before costs, investors collectively earn the market return; after costs, the more they pay intermediaries, trade, and chase winners, the less they keep. |
| 21 | |
| 22 | ## Workflow Inventory |
| 23 | |
| 24 | | Workflow | User question pattern | Inputs | Steps | Output | Independent trigger? | Distinct references? | Triage score | Should be subskill? | Reason | |
| 25 | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---:|---:|---|---| |
| 26 | | Fund comparison | "Which fund should I choose?" | Fees, turnover, strategy, benchmark, tax status | Compare cost, diversification, active risk, simplicity | Fund verdict | Yes | Yes | 3 | No | Primary index-investing workflow. | |
| 27 | | Cost drag analysis | "Do fees matter?" | Expense ratio, turnover, horizon | Estimate compounding drag | Cost warning | Yes | Yes | 3 | No | Same decision report. | |
| 28 | | Asset allocation | "How much stocks/bonds?" | Age, horizon, risk capacity, income need | Apply simple stock/bond discipline | Allocation range | Yes | Yes | 3 | No | Fits the same portfolio policy. | |
| 29 | | Product skepticism | "Should I buy ETF/smart beta/adviser pick?" | Product structure, costs, incentives | Check complexity, trading temptation, conflicts | Use/avoid verdict | Yes | Yes | 3 | No | Same Bogle cost/simplicity lens. | |
| 30 | |
| 31 | ## Architecture Justification |
| 32 | |
| 33 | The workflows are askable separately, but Bogle's method is intentionally simple: cost, broad diversification, tax efficiency, and patient holding are inseparable. A single-file skill preserves the "simplicity and parsimony" rule. |
| 34 | |
| 35 | ## DIMENSION 1: Broad Market Ownership |
| 36 | |
| 37 | **The Rule:** Prefer owning the entire market through a low-cost traditional index fund over trying to select winners. |
| 38 | |
| 39 | ### Key questions to ask: |
| 40 | - Is the fund broadly diversified or making a narrow bet? |
| 41 | - Does it eliminate stock-picking, sector, and manager risk? |
| 42 | - Is the investor seeking market return or chasing alpha? |
| 43 | |
| 44 | ### Decision criteria / Checklist: |
| 45 | - Broad-market exposure. |
| 46 | - Low tracking error to the intended market. |
| 47 | - No unnecessary sector, style, or manager concentration. |
| 48 | - Clear role in the portfolio. |
| 49 | |
| 50 | ### Warning signals: |
| 51 | - Fund selection based on recent outperformance. |
| 52 | - Concentrated funds marketed as safer than they are. |
| 53 | - Complexity presented as sophistication. |
| 54 | |
| 55 | ### Agent instruction: |
| 56 | When reviewing a fund, first determine whether it gives broad, low-cost market ownership or introduces avoidable active risk. |
| 57 | |
| 58 | ## DIMENSION 2: Cost Matters |
| 59 | |
| 60 | **The Rule:** Costs are the most reliable predictor of investor outcomes because every dollar paid to intermediaries is a dollar not compounding for the owner. |
| 61 | |
| 62 | ### Key questions to ask: |
| 63 | - What expense ratio, trading cost, tax cost, advisory fee, and spread apply? |
| 64 | - How long will the investor hold it? |
| 65 | - Does higher cost buy a reliably higher net return? |
| 66 | |
| 67 | ### Decision criteria / Checklist: |
| 68 | - Compare total all-in cost. |
| 69 | - Penalize turnover and tax inefficiency. |
| 70 | - Treat low cost as a durable advantage. |
| 71 | - In bonds, apply extra cost sensitivity because expected returns are lower. |
| 72 | |
| 73 | ### Warning signals: |
| 74 | - Ignoring small annual fees over long horizons. |
| 75 | - Adviser recommendations biased toward high-cost products. |
| 76 | - Performance claims shown before costs, taxes, or survivorship bias. |
| 77 | |
| 78 | ### Agent instruction: |
| 79 | Always run cost analysis before accepting a performance story. |
| 80 | |
| 81 | ## DIMENSION 3: Reversion and Performance Chasing |
| 82 | |
| 83 | **The Rule:** Past fund winners usually revert; chasing them turns a winner's game into a loser's game. |
| 84 | |
| 85 | ### Key questions to ask: |
| 86 | - Is the user selecting based on recent performance? |
| 87 | - Are failed funds excluded from the track record? |
| 88 | - Is the fund's alpha statistically and economically durable after costs? |
| 89 | |
| 90 | ### Decision criteria / Checklist: |
| 91 | - Examine long periods, not hot streaks. |
| 92 | - Watch for survivorship bias. |
| 93 | - Prefer repeatable structure over manager story. |
| 94 | - Assume excess return is rare and competed away. |
| 95 | |
| 96 | ### Warning signals: |
| 97 | - Top-quartile fund rankings used as buying trigg |