$npx -y skills add simbajigege/book2skills --skill essays-in-persuasion-keynesApply Keynes policy reasoning. Trigger on: "will austerity work?", "inflation or deflation?", "analyze this economic crisis".
| 1 | # Essays in Persuasion: Keynes Policy Reasoning Orchestrator |
| 2 | |
| 3 | ## Skill Purpose |
| 4 | |
| 5 | Apply John Maynard Keynes's policy reasoning from *Essays in Persuasion* to contemporary macroeconomic questions. This is a modular skill because users may ask separate, independently triggered questions about debt capacity, inflation versus deflation, fixed exchange-rate traps, demand shortfalls, or economic persuasion. |
| 6 | |
| 7 | ## Routing Rules |
| 8 | |
| 9 | | User intent | Route to | |
| 10 | |---|---| |
| 11 | | Sovereign debt, reparations, sanctions, fiscal capacity, creditor demands | `subskills/transfer-problem.md` | |
| 12 | | Inflation, deflation, unemployment tradeoffs, real debt burdens | `subskills/inflation-deflation.md` | |
| 13 | | Gold standard, currency pegs, euro constraints, devaluation | `subskills/fixed-rate-trap.md` | |
| 14 | | Recession, austerity, stimulus, liquidity trap, animal spirits | `subskills/aggregate-demand.md` | |
| 15 | | Critique or write an economic argument meant to persuade | `subskills/economic-persuasion.md` | |
| 16 | |
| 17 | ## Execution Rules |
| 18 | |
| 19 | 1. Identify the user's concrete policy question and economic context. |
| 20 | 2. Route to the smallest relevant subskill; combine subskills only when the question spans mechanisms. |
| 21 | 3. Use current data when the user asks about a present economy or market. |
| 22 | 4. Distinguish short-run consequences from long-run equilibrium claims. |
| 23 | 5. State what evidence would change the verdict. |
| 24 | |
| 25 | ## Multi-Module Output Format |
| 26 | |
| 27 | - Diagnosis line: identify the policy problem. |
| 28 | - Routed module(s): name the Keynesian lens used. |
| 29 | - Evidence: 2-3 data points or historical parallels. |
| 30 | - Verdict: recommendation with caveats. |
| 31 | - Revision condition: what would make the answer change. |
| 32 | |
| 33 | ## Subskill Status |
| 34 | |
| 35 | All subskills are required and present in `subskills/`. |
| 36 | |
| 37 | ## CITATION RULES |
| 38 | |
| 39 | Use quotes only when the user asks for source grounding or when a claim needs attribution. Reference quote anchors by topic file and anchor. Keep quoted excerpts short. |
| 40 | |
| 41 | - `demand-confidence-quotes.md`: `#slump-trade-employment`, `#idle-workers-worldwide`, `#public-works-remedy`, `#doing-spending-enterprises`, `#restore-confidence-enterprise`, `#revive-enterprise-activity`, `#deflation-transfers-wealth`, `#active-to-inactive` |
| 42 | - `policy-diagnosis-quotes.md`: `#germany-pays-in-goods`, `#transfer-destroys-balance`, `#inflation-and-deflation-injure`, `#inflation-unjust-deflation-inexpedient`, `#deflation-provokes-unemployment`, `#reject-prewar-gold-standard`, `#gold-standard-links-city-wall-street`, `#economists-as-dentists` |
| 43 | |
| 44 | ## Critical Reminders |
| 45 | |
| 46 | - Judge policy by real output, employment, price, and distributional consequences. |
| 47 | - Do not turn Keynes into a universal pro-stimulus slogan; context determines the prescription. |
| 48 | - Do not reproduce long source passages. |