$npx -y skills add xuboyuebobb/investorskills --skill burry-asymmetric-contrarianUse when evaluating Michael Burry-style contrarian, asymmetric, unpopular trades: deep mispricing, short theses, complex assets, forced consensus errors, and catalyst-driven downside/upside.
| 1 | # Burry Asymmetric Contrarian |
| 2 | |
| 3 | Use this skill to apply Michael Burry-style contrarian research: read primary sources, find a non-consensus mispricing, define the exact mechanism that makes the market wrong, and structure a trade with large asymmetry and explicit time/carry risk. |
| 4 | |
| 5 | ## When To Use |
| 6 | |
| 7 | Use this skill when the user asks for: |
| 8 | |
| 9 | - Contrarian long or short analysis |
| 10 | - Complex asset mispricing |
| 11 | - Bubble, fraud, credit, mortgage, or capital-structure review |
| 12 | - A Burry-style short thesis or deep-value thesis |
| 13 | - Whether a hated or ignored asset has asymmetric payoff |
| 14 | |
| 15 | Trigger phrases include `Burry`, `Big Short`, `contrarian`, `asymmetric`, `bubble`, `short thesis`, `credit default`, `deep value`, and `unpopular trade`. |
| 16 | |
| 17 | ## Process |
| 18 | |
| 19 | 1. Define consensus and why it may be wrong. |
| 20 | 2. Verify with primary documents, not summaries. |
| 21 | 3. Identify the exact mispricing mechanism. |
| 22 | 4. Define catalyst, time horizon, carry cost, and path risk. |
| 23 | 5. Size small enough to survive being early. |
| 24 | 6. Exit if facts invalidate the mechanism, not because the trade is unpopular. |
| 25 | |
| 26 | ## Output Format |
| 27 | |
| 28 | ```md |
| 29 | # Burry View: [Asset] |
| 30 | |
| 31 | ## Verdict |
| 32 | Asymmetric Long / Asymmetric Short / Watch / Too Early / Pass |
| 33 | |
| 34 | ## Consensus Belief |
| 35 | ## Variant Perception |
| 36 | ## Primary Evidence |
| 37 | ## Trade Structure |
| 38 | ## Catalyst And Timing |
| 39 | ## Carry / Path Risk |
| 40 | ## Invalidation |
| 41 | ``` |
| 42 | |
| 43 | ## Guardrails |
| 44 | |
| 45 | - Do not be contrarian for its own sake. |
| 46 | - Do not ignore borrow, carry, margin, or timing risk. |
| 47 | - Do not use secondhand summaries when primary docs exist. |
| 48 | - Do not size so large that being early becomes fatal. |
| 49 | |
| 50 | ## Questflow Use |
| 51 | |
| 52 | In Questflow, this skill is best used as a contrarian asymmetry module for deep research, shorts, complex assets, and Fund risk reviews. |