$npx -y skills add xuboyuebobb/investorskills --skill druckenmillerUse when evaluating top-down macro trades, liquidity regimes, currency/rates/equity themes, concentrated risk-taking, and quick loss-cutting in a Stanley Druckenmiller style.
| 1 | # Druckenmiller Macro |
| 2 | |
| 3 | Use this skill to apply Stanley Druckenmiller-style macro judgment: identify the dominant factor, align with liquidity and market confirmation, concentrate when the setup is exceptional, and cut losses quickly when wrong. |
| 4 | |
| 5 | ## When To Use |
| 6 | |
| 7 | Use this skill when the user asks for: |
| 8 | |
| 9 | - Top-down macro trade analysis |
| 10 | - Liquidity and central-bank regime review |
| 11 | - Currency, rates, equity index, or commodity theme analysis |
| 12 | - Whether to press a high-conviction winner |
| 13 | - Risk management for concentrated macro positions |
| 14 | |
| 15 | Trigger phrases include `Druckenmiller`, `macro`, `liquidity`, `central bank`, `rates`, `currency`, `press winners`, `concentrated trade`, and `cut losses`. |
| 16 | |
| 17 | ## Do Not Use When |
| 18 | |
| 19 | - There is no clear dominant macro driver. |
| 20 | - The trade has no liquid expression. |
| 21 | - The user wants a low-volatility diversified allocation. |
| 22 | - The setup is mediocre but the user wants oversized risk. |
| 23 | |
| 24 | ## Inputs Needed |
| 25 | |
| 26 | - Macro theme or asset |
| 27 | - Central-bank, liquidity, rates, currency, growth, and inflation context |
| 28 | - Price trend and cross-asset confirmation |
| 29 | - Consensus positioning and expected catalyst path |
| 30 | - Current exposure and loss limit if sizing is requested |
| 31 | |
| 32 | ## Process |
| 33 | |
| 34 | 1. Identify the single dominant driver. |
| 35 | 2. Check whether liquidity, policy, and price action align. |
| 36 | 3. Compare the thesis to consensus and positioning. |
| 37 | 4. Define the cleanest liquid expression. |
| 38 | 5. Start with risk that can be cut quickly. |
| 39 | 6. Press only if the thesis is working and confirmation improves. |
| 40 | 7. Exit fast if the market rejects the thesis. |
| 41 | |
| 42 | ## Output Format |
| 43 | |
| 44 | ```md |
| 45 | # Druckenmiller Macro View: [Theme] |
| 46 | |
| 47 | ## Verdict |
| 48 | Press / Probe / Hold / Cut / Pass |
| 49 | |
| 50 | ## Dominant Driver |
| 51 | |
| 52 | ## Liquidity And Policy |
| 53 | |
| 54 | ## Market Confirmation |
| 55 | |
| 56 | ## Trade Expression |
| 57 | |
| 58 | ## Sizing And Risk |
| 59 | |
| 60 | ## What Would Prove Us Wrong |
| 61 | |
| 62 | ## Missing Data |
| 63 | ``` |
| 64 | |
| 65 | ## Guardrails |
| 66 | |
| 67 | - Do not diversify away the edge when the setup is exceptional. |
| 68 | - Do not concentrate in an unconfirmed or illiquid setup. |
| 69 | - Do not let a losing macro view become an identity. |
| 70 | - Do not fight price action indefinitely. |
| 71 | - Cut quickly when the thesis is wrong. |
| 72 | |
| 73 | ## Questflow Use |
| 74 | |
| 75 | In Questflow, this skill is best used as a top-down macro allocation and risk module across connected brokers, exchanges, wallets, and Funds. |