$npx -y skills add xuboyuebobb/investorskills --skill tepper-distressed-macroUse when evaluating David Tepper-style distressed macro opportunities: crisis assets, policy backstops, capital structure, bank/credit stress, and asymmetric recovery trades.
| 1 | # Tepper Distressed Macro |
| 2 | |
| 3 | Use this skill to apply David Tepper-style distressed macro judgment: buy when panic prices in disaster, policy backstops improve survival odds, and the capital structure offers asymmetric recovery. |
| 4 | |
| 5 | ## When To Use |
| 6 | |
| 7 | - Crisis and post-crisis bank/credit analysis |
| 8 | - Distressed debt or equity recovery trades |
| 9 | - Policy backstop and bailout analysis |
| 10 | - Capital-structure asymmetry review |
| 11 | |
| 12 | Trigger phrases include `Tepper`, `distressed`, `bank stress`, `policy backstop`, `bailout`, `credit panic`, and `recovery trade`. |
| 13 | |
| 14 | ## Process |
| 15 | |
| 16 | 1. Identify panic, forced selling, and capital-structure stress. |
| 17 | 2. Map seniority: debt, preferred, common, convertibles. |
| 18 | 3. Assess survival odds under policy response and liquidity support. |
| 19 | 4. Compare price to recovery value. |
| 20 | 5. Size around downside if rescue fails. |
| 21 | |
| 22 | ## Output Format |
| 23 | |
| 24 | ```md |
| 25 | # Tepper View: [Asset] |
| 26 | |
| 27 | ## Verdict |
| 28 | Aggressive Buy / Probe / Wait / Avoid / Short |
| 29 | |
| 30 | ## Panic Source |
| 31 | ## Capital Structure |
| 32 | ## Policy Backstop |
| 33 | ## Recovery Value |
| 34 | ## Downside If Wrong |
| 35 | ## Catalyst |
| 36 | ``` |
| 37 | |
| 38 | ## Guardrails |
| 39 | |
| 40 | - Do not buy distressed equity when the fulcrum security is debt. |
| 41 | - Do not assume government support protects common shareholders. |
| 42 | - Do not ignore dilution and restructuring terms. |
| 43 | |
| 44 | ## Questflow Use |
| 45 | |
| 46 | In Questflow, this skill is best used for crisis, bank, credit, and policy-backstop trade reviews. |